A Hybrid Framework for Explainable Aviation Risk: Causal Chain Extraction from Safety Reports with Physics-Based Failure Quantification and Counterfactual Analysis

Published in To be submitted to Advanced Engineering Informatics, 2026

Representative figure for this publication
Aggregate causation graph learned from 55,940 NTSB and FAA accident chains, layered from organizational factors to aerodynamic states.

Extracts causal chains from aviation safety reports and grounds them with physics-based failure quantification and counterfactual analysis, producing risk explanations an operator can check.

Representative publication of this research line.

Recommended citation

@unpublished{pang2026hybrid,
  title = {A Hybrid Framework for Explainable Aviation Risk: Causal Chain Extraction from Safety Reports with Physics-Based Failure Quantification and Counterfactual Analysis},
  author = {Pang, Y. and Tian, Y. and Xie, J. and Zhao, X. and Hu, J. and Jacobsen, H. and Clarke, J.},
  note = {To be submitted to Advanced Engineering Informatics},
  year = {2026}
}